A few great questions yesterday from the SITREP that deserve deep answers.
Has the United States shipped everything? What about undelivered aid?
Undelivered aid that has already been allocated will continue to be shipped, but ammunition is more immediate.
We have yet to verifiably see GLSDB in Ukraine, but we know, based on announcements from Boeing/Saab, that they are coming very soon. GLSDB are the 113 kg GBU-39 small-diameter bombs attached to an M26 rocket and launched from HIMARS systems (or t...
2023-11-18 22:27:31 +0000 UTC
View Post
Action Report
The information space remains highly problematic, with an extreme amount of disinformation being spread by the proxies of both combatants. Unless we state, “we were able to independently verify the claim,” or provide three unique sources in the report, the claims should be considered “unverified.” Otherwise, every third sentence would be, “We cannot independently verify the claim.”
Gaza Strip and Southern and Central Israel
After securing the Al-Shifa ...
2023-11-18 08:42:25 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced. To access the link, you may need to expand the entire article by clicking Show More because of a UI change made by Patreon, of which we have no control.
SITREP 537 is 49 pages and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big story? It is becoming clear that Ukraine's dwindling ammunit...
2023-11-18 05:48:15 +0000 UTC
View Post
Osama bin Mohammed bin Awad bin Laden was born on March 10, 1957. Raised in wealth and privilege as a member of the bin Laden family in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, parts of his formative years are cloudy. His father divorced his mother shortly after he was born. He was raised as a devout Sunni Muslim. When bin Laden's father died, he inherited a small part of the family fortune, estimated to be around $25 million. He attended Oxford University in England in 1971. It is unclear if he ever earned a degree, and if he did, what it was in and from whic...
2023-11-17 01:06:50 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced. To access the link, you may need to expand the entire article by clicking Show More because of a UI change made by Patreon, of which we have no control.
SITREP 536 is 36 pages and combat only.
Personal Note: Thank you to everyone for your patience. It is truly and deeply appreciated. Some decis...
2023-11-16 06:20:29 +0000 UTC
View Post
Action Report
The information space remains highly problematic, with an extreme amount of disinformation being spread by the proxies of both combatants. Unless we state, “we were able to independently verify the claim,” or provide three unique sources in the report, the claims should be considered “unverified.” Otherwise, every third sentence would be, “We cannot independently verify the claim.”
Gaza Strip and Southern and Central Israel
The IDF secured the Al-Shifa...
2023-11-15 23:58:29 +0000 UTC
View Post
The United States House voted 336-95 to approve a stop-gap "clean" spending bill that will avert the shutdown of the U.S. government on Saturday. The measure, which has no poison pill provisions or calls for spending increases or cuts, will almost certainly sail through the Senate and then to President Joe Biden for approval.
The bill received the support of 209 Democrats and 97 Republicans, with Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-LA) forced to cross the aisle to get the required votes needed to move a spending bill forward.
2023-11-15 00:41:13 +0000 UTC
View Post
Russia-Ukraine
Kharkiv: Ukrainian forces fully liberated Topoli after 21 months of occupation on the Russian border. We had considered the settlement liberated since November 2022. The flag-raising confirmed its liberation. It is unclear if this was a formality if the village was Russian-controlled this whole time or a n...
2023-11-14 21:42:44 +0000 UTC
View Post
Russia-Ukraine
Ukrainian forces have liberated Dachi, located on the left bank of the Dnipro River, south of Kherson. The map is updated.
Ukrainian forces have expanded control of 2023-11-07 21:05:35 +0000 UTC
View Post
Russia-Ukraine
There have been no significant territorial control changes since our last map update, with Ukraine and Russia making marginal gains within the existing gray areas as mapped.
Russia made marginal gains near Vuhledar and toward Bohdanivka on the north flank of Bakhmut, and Ukraine pushed Russian forces back near Pryyutne. Ukrainian forces have also expanded their bridgehead on the east bank of the Konka River.
The Odesa Art Museum suffered moderate damage from a missile or drone strike adjacent...
2023-11-06 19:40:38 +0000 UTC
View Post
Russia-Ukraine
Russia launched a large attack on Vuhledar two to three days ago. Minimum of a battalion in size with significant armor support. They were completely routed. Up to 25 tanks, IFVs, and APCs destroyed with no new territorial gains.
Can confirm Ukraine still working on liberating Krynky and they are expanding control (Kherson).
Zarina is still in Kherson and trying to get an official statement from Operational Command South.
Israel-Hamas
No update
2023-11-03 17:29:11 +0000 UTC
View Post
Russia-Ukraine
We told David that if he sends us another Signal we'll ask his wife to break his thumbs. He did ask to relay for those who read the Valerii Zaluzhnyi interview that he agrees with every word.
Russian forces have chipped away at Ukrainian gains north of Pryyutne.
Ukrainian forces are holding defensive lines at Avdiivka and Russian troops are digging in near the railroad tracks.
In addition to 1M artillery shells from North Korea, Russia received the North Korean version of the Iskander S...
2023-11-03 17:02:23 +0000 UTC
View Post
Hi! I'm Jeff. David asked me to provide quick updates while he recovers.
Yemen did not declare war on Israel. The Iran-backed Houthi separatists did. The Houthi are not a recognized nation but heavily supported by Iran and have intermediate range missiles.
Israel is expanding operations within Gaza. Operational goal appears to be to separate Gaza City north from rest of strip. Heavy bombing by IAF, refugee camp hit again.
Deal to let critically wounded civilians and some foreign nationals out held, first group is leaving Ga...
2023-11-01 16:14:46 +0000 UTC
View Post
It's not the message I wanted to write today.
I had a panic attack at the store.
I don't have panic attacks.
People who know me, have done conflict reporting with me, my former search and rescue mates, or my former co-workers from RealNetworks in 2001 during the Nisqually Earthquake will tell you that I am the coolest, calmest person you could ever be around when it hits the fan. If World War III started, I'm the guy in the basement who would be saying, "OK, this is all going to be OK. Here is what we need to do," and peopl...
2023-10-31 19:34:49 +0000 UTC
View Post
More later...I'm not dying so don't panic. No SITREPS, no podcast tomorrow
2023-10-31 03:25:37 +0000 UTC
View Post
Israeli and German officials are reporting that the remains of Shani Louk, a German-Israeli citizen taken hostage on October 7, have been recovered and that Hamas beheaded her.
Louk was attending an outdoor electronic music festival 3.5 kilometers from the Gaza Strip border when Hamas attacked shortly after sunrise on October 7. Almost 25 percent of civilian deaths on Black Sabbath occurred at the festival, leaving at least 260 dead and dozens, many of them foreigners, taken hostage.
In a video published by Hamas after the Octobe...
2023-10-30 22:02:52 +0000 UTC
View Post
Action Report
The information space remains highly problematic, with an extreme amount of disinformation being spread by the proxies of both combatants. Ground fighting continues to be local skirmishes and the neutralization of squad-sized sabotage and reconnaissance teams. It is difficult to ascertain where the truth lies between all the claims in an environment where the ground fighting is somewhere between terrorist and police actions and actual combat between two belligerent...
2023-10-30 08:56:36 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced. To access the link, you may need to expand the entire article by clicking Show More because of a UI change made by Patreon, of which we have no control.
SITREP 535 is 40 pages and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big story? The Kremlin fired the Russian general in charge of the Dnipro Group of...
2023-10-30 05:42:42 +0000 UTC
View Post
Before we get to the situation, some history is required.
Imperial Russia and the Soviet Union were deeply anti-Semitic. Modern antisemitism, rooted in part to the Protocols of Zion, was produced in Russia, although it is murky if Tsar Nicholas II commissioned its writing. It is not murky that he used the writings to justify the pogroms of 1903 - 1905. In 1994, when the Soviet Union collapsed, the mechanisms that both supported antisemitism while balancing actual physical violence against Jews collapsed with it. The Soviet Union had al...
2023-10-29 23:24:25 +0000 UTC
View Post
Action Report
The information space remains highly problematic, with an extreme amount of disinformation being spread by the proxies of both combatants. Ground fighting continues to be local skirmishes and the neutralization of squad-sized sabotage and reconnaissance teams. It is difficult to ascertain where the truth lies between all the claims in an environment where the ground fighting is somewhere between terrorist and police actions and actual combat between two belligerent...
2023-10-29 08:06:45 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced. To access the link, you may need to expand the entire article by clicking Show More because of a UI change made by Patreon, of which we have no control.
SITREP 534 is 48 pages and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big story? The subject says it all - Ukraine has established a bridgehead on the ...
2023-10-29 03:50:38 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced. To access the link, you may need to expand the entire article by clicking Show More because of a UI change made by Patreon, of which we have no control.
SITREP 533 is 36 pages.
What's Happening
What's the big story? It was a very quiet day in Ukraine with no major fighting reported in Kharkiv or Luhansk...
2023-10-28 08:44:24 +0000 UTC
View Post
Action Report
The information space remains highly problematic, with an extreme amount of disinformation being spread by the proxies of both combatants. Ground fighting continues to be local skirmishes and the neutralization of squad-sized sabotage and reconnaissance teams. It is difficult to ascertain where the truth lies between all the claims in an environment where the ground fighting is somewhere between terrorist and police actions and actual combat between two belligerent...
2023-10-28 04:41:58 +0000 UTC
View Post
Updated - added a short video and more information about comms in Gaza.
What we know.
Israel has started a significant incursion into the Gaza Strip, striking in the same location they attacked yesterday. This is a much larger group, and based on the sound, there is a pitched battle. We have three unique sources reporting there is a significant increase in air operations. In our assessment, this is suppression and close air support.
A 📺
2023-10-27 21:44:10 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced. To access the link, you may need to expand the entire article by clicking Show More because of a UI change made by Patreon, of which we have no control.
SITREP 532 is 46 pages and combat only! (new Patreons, that means a lot happened)
What's Happening
What's the big story? Russian forces are in a pause ...
2023-10-27 10:03:16 +0000 UTC
View Post
Action Report
The information space remains highly problematic, with an extreme amount of disinformation being spread by the proxies of both combatants. Ground fighting continues to be local skirmishes and the neutralization of squad-sized sabotage and reconnaissance teams. It is difficult to ascertain where the truth lies between all the claims in an environment where the ground fighting is somewhere between terrorist and police actions and actual combat between two belligerent...
2023-10-27 09:56:53 +0000 UTC
View Post
Not feeling well.
EOM
2023-10-26 10:25:15 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced. To access the link, you may need to expand the entire article by clicking Show More because of a UI change made by Patreon, of which we have no control.
SITREP 531 is 43 pages long.
What's Happening
What's the big story? Russian forces continued to make gains northeast of Avdiivka.
What's the seco...
2023-10-26 10:24:18 +0000 UTC
View Post
Editor's Note: The only charitable thing I can say after the last 24 hours is Tel Aviv has made Moscow look absolutely competent in the information and geopolitical space. If the Israeli government is still functional, more voices need to demand immediate changes. Netanyahu's War Council has done more damage to Israel on the world stage than its enemy's wildest dreams.
Action Report
The information space remains highly problematic, with an extreme amount of disinformation being spr...
2023-10-25 10:58:35 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced. To access the link, you may need to expand the entire article by clicking Show More because of a UI change made by Patreon, of which we have no control.
SITREP 530 is 50 pages long.
What's Happening
What's the big story? The situation for Ukrainian forces in the Avdiivka area of operation has deteriorat...
2023-10-25 06:39:54 +0000 UTC
View Post